Economic Outlook - Wells Fargo indicates signs of an economic slowdown, with job creation slowing and inflation expected to rise [1][2] - Nonfarm payrolls added an average of 130,000 jobs per month in the first half of the year, down from 164,000 in the same period of 2024 [2] - Job creation is affected by stagnation in small businesses' hiring plans, while inflation is anticipated to increase due to new tariffs [3] Federal Reserve Actions - The trends of slowing job creation and rising inflation are expected to lead the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to lower interest rates by 25 basis points at three upcoming meetings in September, October, and December [3] Employment Data - Employers are cautious about adding new employees, despite retaining current workers; the number of Americans filing for unemployment has dropped to a seven-week low, while insured unemployment has risen to its highest level since November 2021 [4] - The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that employment growth in June was consistent with the previous year's rate, with gains in state government and healthcare sectors [5] Tariff Impact - The impact of tariffs is reflected in data showing an increase in non-revolving credit, as consumers are purchasing larger items like cars to avoid new tariffs [6]
Wells Fargo Reportedly Sees Signs of Economic Slowdown