高温“灼伤”欧洲经济，热浪或致GDP损失0.5%

Economic Impact of Heatwaves - The recent heatwaves in Europe are predicted to cause an average GDP decline of 0.5 percentage points across affected countries [1][6] - Spain's GDP may decrease by 1.4 percentage points, while Italy and Greece could see declines of 1.2 and 1.1 percentage points respectively [7] - In Germany, the impact is expected to be less severe, with a projected GDP reduction of 0.1 percentage points, potentially nullifying the anticipated growth rate for 2025 [7] Agricultural Challenges - Extreme weather conditions are reshaping food production, transportation, and pricing globally [3] - In Bavaria, Germany, farmers are expected to harvest about 5% less than average due to drought and heat, with yields per hectare dropping from 7.6 tons (2015-2019) to 6.7 tons last year, a decrease of approximately 12% [3] - Dairy production is also affected, with potential milk yield reductions of up to 10% due to heat and humidity [3] Inflation and Food Prices - Climate change is directly impacting food prices, with a reported increase in food price inflation by 0.67 percentage points in Europe due to last year's heatwave [4] - Predictions indicate that global food inflation could rise to 4% by 2060 as a result of high temperatures [4] Infrastructure and Productivity Strain - The tourism sector in Europe is facing significant disruptions due to heatwaves, with major attractions temporarily closing to protect visitors [5] - Infrastructure operations are also affected, with power plants shutting down and reduced shipping capacity on rivers due to low water levels [5] - High temperatures can lead to a productivity loss of about 50% for workers engaged in moderate-intensity tasks, which can accumulate and significantly impact the overall economy [5][8] Systemic Economic Changes - Climate change is beginning to impact economic systems, with rising disaster recovery costs and altered investment risk profiles [8] - There is an urgent need for governments and global institutions to take decisive action to protect lives, maintain economic stability, and create opportunities for green transitions [8]