ESTUN AUTOMATION(SZ:002747) Xin Lang Zheng Quan·2025-07-11 02:41Core Viewpoint - Estun Automation, a leading Chinese industrial robotics company, is facing significant financial challenges as it prepares for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a projected loss of 810 million yuan in 2024, raising concerns about its future viability and the potential risks associated with its capital raising efforts [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue from 2022 to 2024 showed fluctuations, with figures of 3.881 billion yuan, 4.652 billion yuan, and 4.009 billion yuan respectively, indicating a 13.8% decline in 2024 compared to 2023 [2][3]. - Net profit for the years 2022 and 2023 was 166 million yuan and 135 million yuan, respectively, but it plummeted to a net loss of 810 million yuan in 2024, a staggering decline of 700.1% year-on-year [2][3][4]. - The company's core business, particularly in industrial robotics and intelligent manufacturing systems, saw a revenue drop of 16.04% in 2024 [4][5]. Debt and Cash Flow Situation - As of the end of 2024, Estun's total liabilities reached 8.248 billion yuan, with a significant short-term debt of 6.387 billion yuan against cash reserves of only 1.348 billion yuan, indicating a tight liquidity position [7][9]. - The company's operating cash flow turned negative in 2024, at -104 million yuan, relying heavily on financing activities to maintain operations [9][10]. Market Sentiment and External Factors - Foreign investment sentiment has deteriorated, with the proportion of shares held by foreign investors dropping from 23.71% to 2.21% between 2022 and 2025, reflecting a lack of confidence in the company's future prospects [11][12]. - UBS has issued a "sell" rating for Estun, setting a target price of 10.30 yuan, which is nearly half of its current stock price, further pressuring the company's valuation [15]. IPO Plans and Use of Proceeds - The upcoming IPO aims to raise funds for expanding global production capacity, acquisitions, R&D projects, enhancing service capabilities, and repaying existing loans, highlighting the urgent need for capital to stabilize the company's financial situation [1][4].