United (UAL) Q2 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures

Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect United Airlines (UAL) to report quarterly earnings of $3.86 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 6.8%, with revenues projected at $15.36 billion, an increase of 2.5% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 5.4%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Operating revenue- Passenger revenue' to be $14.00 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.3% [5]. - The estimated 'Operating revenue- Other operating revenue' is $950.69 million, indicating a year-over-year change of 6.6% [5]. - 'Operating revenue- Cargo' is expected to reach $462.00 million, reflecting an 11.6% increase from the prior year [6]. Key Metrics - The consensus estimate for 'ASMs (Available seat miles)' is 84.60 billion, up from 79.68 billion in the same quarter last year [8]. - Analysts expect 'RPMs (Revenue passenger miles)' to be 70.28 billion, compared to 67.06 billion in the previous year [8]. - Fuel consumption is projected at 1,249 million gallons, an increase from 1,134 million gallons reported in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, United shares have increased by 18.4%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a change of 4.1% [10].