Rise in NII & Fee Income to Aid PNC Financial's Q2 Earnings

Core Viewpoint - PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. is expected to report improved revenues and earnings for Q2 2025, driven by higher net interest income and fee income, despite rising expenses and provisions for credit losses [1][11][18]. Financial Performance Expectations - The earnings surprise history of PNC is strong, with an average surprise of 8.39% over the last four quarters [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 earnings per share is $3.56, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.9% [18]. - Total revenues are projected at $5.62 billion, indicating a 3.8% year-over-year increase [18]. Net Interest Income (NII) - NII is expected to rise by 1-2% in Q2 2025, supported by stable funding and deposit costs [3][4][11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII is $3.55 billion, representing a sequential increase of 2% [5]. Loan Growth - Average loans are anticipated to increase by 1% sequentially, with projections indicating a 1.4% rise [4][5]. - Demand for commercial, industrial, real estate, and consumer loans has remained solid [4]. Non-Interest Revenues - Mortgage revenues are expected to decline by 2.7% sequentially, with estimates at $130.4 million due to stable mortgage rates [6][7]. - Asset management and brokerage income is projected to see a slight decline, with the consensus estimate at $387.8 million [8][10]. - Card and cash management revenues are expected to rise by 4.9% sequentially, with estimates at $726.4 million [12]. Expenses and Asset Quality - Non-interest expenses are projected to be stable at $3.43 billion, despite ongoing investments in technology and digitalization [13][14]. - Provisions for credit losses are expected to increase to $252.5 million, a sequential rise of 15.3% [15]. - Non-performing assets (NPAs) are estimated at $2.38 billion, indicating a 2.2% increase from the previous quarter [16]. Market Conditions - Global M&A activity has improved, with deal-making resuming towards the end of the quarter despite initial market volatility due to tariff announcements [9].