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消费动机迭代释放新经济增长潜能 五大新消费赛道活力奔涌

Group 1: Consumption Policies and Market Trends - The "Consumption Promotion Special Action Plan" has effectively stimulated consumption as a core driver of economic growth in the first half of 2025 [1] - Emerging economic forms such as the trendy toy economy, tea beverage consumption, pet economy, outdoor economy, and silver-haired economy are rapidly rising, becoming new engines for market vitality and economic growth [1] Group 2: Trendy Toy Economy - The trendy toy economy is reshaping the offline commercial ecosystem, driven by emotional value and the healing economy, with a market value of approximately 600 billion yuan in 2023, expected to reach 1.101 trillion yuan by 2026, with a growth rate of over 20% [2] - Major brands like Pop Mart are achieving significant revenue growth, with Pop Mart's revenue projected to reach 13.04 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 106.9% [2][3] - The number of trendy toy-related enterprises in China has reached 22,300, with a notable increase in registrations since 2021, indicating a growing market [3] Group 3: Tea Beverage Consumption - The tea beverage industry is experiencing a transformation driven by product innovation and globalization, with several major brands successfully listing on stock exchanges in 2025 [4] - The market for tea beverages is increasingly focusing on health, cross-industry collaborations, and cultural connections, enhancing emotional ties with consumers [4][5] - Tea brands are actively expanding into lower-tier cities, with significant proportions of their stores located in third-tier and below cities, indicating a strategic focus on tapping into domestic demand [5][6] Group 4: Pet Economy - The pet economy is rapidly growing, with a market size of 592.8 billion yuan in 2023, expected to reach 1.15 trillion yuan by 2028, driven by individualization and the single economy [7] - The number of pet-related enterprises has surged, with over 4.5775 million existing companies, reflecting a strong entrepreneurial interest in the sector [7] - During the "618" shopping festival, pet-related sales saw significant growth, with many brands achieving record sales figures [8] Group 5: Outdoor Economy - The outdoor economy is emerging as a new consumption trend, with online consumption expected to reach 300 billion yuan in 2024, driven primarily by the 24 to 34 age group [11] - International outdoor brands are increasingly opening their first stores in China, indicating a growing interest in the outdoor market [11] - The integration of outdoor activities into modern lifestyles is reshaping commercial real estate, with a focus on creating immersive consumer experiences [12] Group 6: Silver-Haired Economy - The silver-haired economy is becoming a significant pillar of the consumption market, with projections indicating that the population aged 60 and above will reach 370 million by 2030 [13] - This sector is expanding beyond traditional elderly care services to encompass a full range of consumer needs, reflecting a shift towards a more quality-oriented consumption mindset among older adults [14] - The travel and care industry for the elderly is experiencing robust growth, with participation numbers expected to rise significantly by 2024 [13][14]