美威胁对加墨分别征收35%和30%关税，如何影响美墨加产业链？｜特朗普关税风云第二季

Core Viewpoint - The recent tariff measures imposed by the Trump administration on imports from Mexico and Canada are primarily aimed at addressing drug trafficking issues, but their actual impact may be limited due to exemptions for products that comply with the USMCA rules [1][5]. Group 1: Tariff Details - Starting August 1, a 30% tariff will be imposed on goods imported from Mexico, while a 35% tariff will be applied to goods from Canada [1]. - The tariffs are justified by Trump's claims of insufficient action by both countries in controlling fentanyl trafficking [1][6]. - The tariffs are expected to raise prices by approximately 1.2% due to direct and indirect effects on the economy [6]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The US imports over $100 billion annually in industrial goods from Canada and Mexico, which includes machinery, electronics, and agricultural products [5]. - The tariffs may create new negotiation leverage for the US in trade discussions, particularly regarding dairy and aluminum tariffs [4][6]. - The potential for retaliatory tariffs from Canada and Mexico exists, but both countries are currently focused on demonstrating compliance with USMCA to mitigate the impact [7][8]. Group 3: Political Context - Trump's administration has sent letters to 24 countries and the EU regarding tariff adjustments, indicating a broader strategy of using tariffs as a negotiation tool [3]. - The political implications of these tariffs could lead to public dissatisfaction if prices for well-known consumer goods rise significantly [6]. - Both Canada and Mexico have expressed intentions to negotiate rather than retaliate, given their economic dependence on the US market [8].