和讯投顾刘彦军：重要变盘点了，30分钟决胜负

Market Signals - The market has reached a significant turning point, indicated by two important signals that will determine the market's direction for the following day [1] - The index has shown a pattern of high and low trading over the past three days, suggesting heavy selling pressure above [1] - Short-term funds are exiting the market, as evidenced by the morning rallies followed by afternoon pullbacks [1] Resistance Levels - A critical resistance level is identified at 3532 points; if this level holds, the index may have the potential to break through 3555.22 points [1] - If the index fails to surpass 3532 points, a reduction in positions is recommended [1] Banking Sector Analysis - The banking sector has shown a volume contraction during its rebound, which is interpreted as a potential false signal for further gains [1] - The banking sector may be at a major cycle turning point, with a high probability of reaching a peak [1] - The future performance of small-cap stocks may depend on whether funds will flow back from the banking sector [1] Small-Cap Stocks - The recent rebound in the market has allowed many small-cap stocks to profit, particularly with the CSI 2000 index reaching new highs [2] - However, the CSI 2000 index is showing signs of being overbought, indicating a potential short-term pullback [2] - A critical support level is identified at 3489 points; if this level is breached, it could extend the duration and magnitude of the pullback [2] Market Outlook - The market is expected to experience a synchronized decline in the morning, affecting both large-cap and small-cap stocks due to the anticipated pullback [2] - The recent upward movement in large-cap stocks is primarily aimed at a strong counterattack, but failure to break above 3489 points may indicate a failed rebound [2]