Elevance to Report Q2 Earnings: Will Rising Costs Pressure Profits?

Core Viewpoint - Elevance Health, Inc. (ELV) is expected to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 17, 2025, with earnings estimated at $9.20 per share and revenues of $48.13 billion, reflecting an 11.4% year-over-year increase in revenues [1][6]. Financial Estimates - The second-quarter earnings estimate has declined by 1.8% over the past 60 days, indicating a year-over-year decline of 9.1% in earnings, while the revenue estimate suggests an 11.4% year-over-year increase [2]. - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate stands at $195 billion, representing an 11.3% year-over-year increase, and the EPS estimate is $34.40, implying a 4.1% year-over-year increase [3]. Earnings Performance - Elevance has beaten the consensus estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of negative 1.2% [3]. - The current Earnings ESP is 0.00%, and the Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold), indicating uncertainty regarding an earnings beat this quarter [4]. Revenue Drivers - The consensus estimate for product revenues indicates an 11.1% growth from the previous year's $5.5 billion, while premiums are expected to increase by 11.9% year-over-year [5]. - Growth in CarelonRx and recent acquisitions in home health and pharmacy services are anticipated to support revenue growth [8]. Expense Considerations - Elevated expenses are expected due to significant investments in digital capabilities, with total expenses projected to rise nearly 11% year-over-year [9]. - The benefit expense ratio is estimated at 88.4, higher than the previous year's 86.3, which may impact profit margins [9]. Segment Performance - The Health Benefits segment's operating income is expected to decrease by 12.4% year-over-year, with declining Medicaid memberships affecting premium growth [10].