美日破局十月加息可期黄金强势走高

Group 1 - International gold is currently trading around $3,351.89, with a slight increase of 0.17% from the previous session, indicating a short-term bullish trend [1] - The highest price reached today was $3,351.89, while the lowest was $3,340.99, showing a range of fluctuation within the trading session [1] Group 2 - A senior economist warns that inflation momentum is clear, and if US-Japan tariff negotiations succeed, an interest rate hike in October is possible [2] - The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its inflation forecasts for the current fiscal year and the next, as companies shift from temporary cost-pass-through strategies to more permanent price transmission mechanisms [2] Group 3 - Gold prices are currently experiencing a high-level consolidation, with potential risks of a downturn to around $3,000 or $2,600, but the bullish trend remains intact as long as prices stay above the May moving average [3] - If gold prices break below the May moving average support, they could drop to the $3,000 level, but the likelihood of this happening is considered low due to multiple expected interest rate cuts in the second half of the year [3] - Current indicators suggest a bearish signal, indicating a potential for a pullback, but any decline is expected to find support near the middle moving average, presenting a buying opportunity [3]