穆迪分析师：今年全球经济增长可能放缓至略高于2%

Core Viewpoint - Moody's analyst Stefan Angrick indicates that global economic growth may slow to just above 2% in 2025 and 2026, down from nearly 3% in 2024 due to uncertainties stemming from changes in U.S. trade policy [1] Group 1: Economic Growth - Global economic growth is projected to decline from nearly 3% in 2024 to just above 2% in 2025 and 2026 [1] - The slowdown is attributed to disruptions caused by U.S. trade, fiscal spending, and immigration policy fluctuations [1] Group 2: Risks to Economic Outlook - Major risks to the already dim economic outlook include new tariff threats, financial market volatility, and geopolitical hotspots [1] - Increased military conflicts have heightened uncertainty, leading central banks to act cautiously regarding policy changes [1] Group 3: Business Environment - The growing uncertainty complicates planning, resulting in delayed investment decisions and hiring, putting pressure on businesses [1] - Economic growth is slowing, and employment conditions are also deteriorating [1]