
Core Viewpoint - A potential bubble is forming in individual AI stocks, with analysts predicting significant declines in certain high-flying stocks despite a bullish sentiment on AI's market potential, estimated at $15.7 trillion by 2030 [1][2][4]. Group 1: Palantir Technologies - Palantir Technologies has seen its shares increase over 2,100% since the beginning of 2023, adding approximately $320 billion in market value [5]. - The company's sustainable moat is attributed to its Gotham platform, which secures long-term contracts with the U.S. government, and its Foundry platform, which aids businesses in data analysis [6]. - Analyst Rishi Jaluria from RBC Capital Markets has raised his price target for Palantir from $11 to $40, indicating a potential downside of 72% from its closing price of $142.10 on July 11 [7][9]. - Concerns regarding Palantir's valuation are highlighted, with a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of nearly 114, which is unprecedented for a megacap stock [9]. - Jaluria also notes that the tailored approach of Foundry and Gotham limits scalability, suggesting that the stock is more vulnerable than its price suggests [10]. Group 2: Super Micro Computer - Super Micro Computer has experienced a 62% increase in shares year-to-date and over 1,100% growth over the past three years, driven by demand for customizable rack servers for AI data centers [12][13]. - Wall Street forecasts a 110% sales growth for fiscal 2024, followed by 48% and 34% growth in the subsequent years [14]. - Analyst Michael Ng from Goldman Sachs rates Super Micro a sell, predicting a 51% decline in shares to $24 due to increasing competition in the AI server market, which may weaken pricing power [14][15]. - The company faces challenges in regaining investor trust following allegations of wrongdoing, despite an independent committee clearing insiders [17]. Group 3: SoundHound AI - SoundHound AI has reported a 151% increase in sales to $29.1 million for the March-ended quarter, indicating strong client acquisition across various industries [20]. - Analyst Michael Latimore from Northland Securities predicts a 31% decline in SoundHound AI's stock to $8, maintaining a hold rating due to concerns over the company's path to profitability [21][22]. - Despite growth, the company reported an adjusted loss widening from $20.2 million to $22.3 million, and it is not expected to achieve profitability until at least 2027 [22]. - SoundHound AI is also at risk if an AI bubble bursts, as it is valued at 23 times forward-year sales estimates, making it vulnerable to demand fluctuations [23].