Group 1 - The resilience of the US stock market is highlighted despite the recent announcement of new tariff policies, driven by fiscal spending and strong earnings outlook for large-cap stocks [1][2] - The limited exposure of S&P 500 companies to import costs due to current exemptions and the belief that recent tariff rates are not final contribute to the market's stability [2] - The new tax legislation, referred to as the "Big and Beautiful" tax bill, is expected to support large-cap indices by reducing effective cash tax rates and benefiting sectors like technology and healthcare [3] Group 2 - There has been a significant improvement in corporate earnings expectations, with revisions moving from -25% in mid-April to +3% currently, which is expected to support market performance [4] - The anticipated earnings growth for the S&P 500 index in Q2 is projected at 4% year-over-year, with the "seven giants" expected to see a net profit growth of 14%, significantly outpacing other companies [4] - Ongoing uncertainties regarding tariffs and their impact on profit margins remain a concern, with potential adjustments in earnings guidance depending on trade negotiations [4]
大摩:减税政策+盈利修正双轮驱动 美股大盘股正迎来上涨东风
智通财经网·2025-07-15 08:37