魏建国：外贸多元化格局加速形成，未来高端制造业应从出口产品向提供解决方案发力

Core Insights - China's foreign trade in the first half of 2025 reached 21.79 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [1] - The diversification of China's foreign trade markets is accelerating, with significant contributions from emerging markets [2][8] Trade Performance - In the first half of the year, China's export scale surpassed 13 trillion yuan for the first time in history [3] - Exports to ASEAN increased by 14.3% and to Africa by 23%, significantly outpacing the overall export growth rate [6][11] Market Dynamics - The trend of "grabbing exports" was noted, particularly due to the uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs, prompting early exports to avoid higher costs [5] - The cross-border e-commerce sector emerged as a strong performer, with over 120,000 entities involved, and is expected to continue growing rapidly [6][15] Future Outlook - A stable recovery in foreign trade is anticipated for the second half of the year, supported by policy effects and market transformations [7] - The overall trade pattern is expected to show a "front low, back high" trend, with 2025 potentially being a "big year" for foreign trade [7] Market Diversification - The shift towards a more diversified trade structure is becoming a norm, reducing reliance on the U.S. market [11] - Trade with Belt and Road Initiative countries accounted for 51.8% of total trade, indicating a significant shift in trade dynamics [13] Emerging Market Trends - The global value chain is transitioning from a traditional "Euro-American circle" to an "Asia-Africa-Euro-American consumption circle" [12] - The increasing reliance of countries like Vietnam and Mexico on Chinese supply chains is noted, driven by digital trade and cross-border e-commerce [14] Private Sector Growth - The number of foreign trade enterprises exceeded 628,000, with private enterprises leading in exports, accounting for nearly 60% of total trade [15] - Private companies are increasingly moving from OEM to brand development, particularly in high-end manufacturing sectors [15][17] High-End Manufacturing - Exports of high-end equipment grew over 20%, driven by technological upgrades and global supply chain shifts [17] - The future of high-end manufacturing is expected to focus on providing comprehensive solutions rather than just product sales [17]