智通财经网·2025-07-15 13:15Group 1 - OPEC has refuted market rumors regarding a significant increase in Saudi Arabia's oil production, indicating only a slight increase in output [1] - Saudi Arabia's average daily oil production rose by 173,000 barrels to 9.356 million barrels per day, adhering to its production quota [1] - Following OPEC's clarification, Brent crude oil futures saw a minor increase of 0.07%, reaching around $69 [1] Group 2 - Major Wall Street investment firms, including Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan, predict that international oil prices will drop to $60 per barrel or lower in Q4 [2] - These institutions foresee a significant "supply surplus" in the oil market through 2026, leading to a continued decline in oil prices [2] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that Saudi Arabia's actual production increase last month was about four times its OPEC quota level due to geopolitical tensions [2] Group 3 - Two statistical companies, S&P Global Commodity Insights and Argus Media, reported production numbers significantly higher than OPEC's reported figure of approximately 9.356 million barrels [3] - OPEC's monthly report includes production data directly provided by member countries, with Saudi Arabia's submitted figure aligning with its OPEC quota [3] - OPEC maintains its forecast for global oil demand growth at 1.3 million barrels per day, which is notably higher than predictions from other industry data agencies [3]