ZACKSยท2025-07-15 13:46Core Insights - The upcoming Q2 2025 earnings reports for Ford and General Motors are highly anticipated by investors to assess which stock is better positioned [1] - General Motors is set to report earnings on the upcoming Tuesday, while Ford will follow on July 30 [1] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GM's Q2 earnings is $2.44 per share with revenues of $45.34 billion, having surpassed EPS estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 10.16% [2] - Ford's consensus estimates are $0.30 for EPS and $41.5 billion for sales, with a less favorable earnings surprise history, beating estimates twice and missing once in the last four quarters [3] Earnings Surprise Potential - General Motors has a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of -4.05%, while Ford has a Zacks Rank of 2 and an Earnings ESP of -36.59% [4] Vehicle Deliveries - Ford sold 612,095 vehicles in Q2 2025, a 14.2% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand for trucks and hybrids [5] - General Motors sold 746,588 units, up 7.3% year-over-year, with significant growth across all brands, particularly Buick, which saw a 19.3% increase in Q2 [6] Electrification Efforts - General Motors has accelerated its electric vehicle sales, with EV sales up 111% to 46,280 units in Q2, driven by a diverse lineup [7][8] - Ford's EV sales, however, dropped 31% in Q2, but the company is focusing on hybrid strategies and operational scaling for long-term growth [9] Tariff Impact - Ford anticipates a $1.5 billion impact from tariffs, while General Motors expects a profit impact of $4-$5 billion due to tariffs on imports [10] Dividend Comparison - Ford offers a high dividend yield of over 5%, significantly higher than GM's 1.13% and the industry average of 0.3% [11] - Ford aims to distribute 40-50% of free cash flow going forward, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [12] Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year decline in EPS for GM and Ford of 12.3% and 40%, respectively, but Ford's 2026 EPS is projected to grow by 13.4% [13] - Recent estimate revisions suggest Ford is better positioned than GM, with Ford's 2025 EPS estimate remaining stable at $1.11 [14] Stock Performance & Valuation - Year-to-date, Ford's shares have risen 20%, while GM's stock price has remained flat [15] - GM's stock trades at 5.65X forward earnings, while Ford's is at 9.94X, both below the auto sector's average of 25.82X [18] Conclusion - Ford appears better positioned heading into Q2 earnings due to its hybrid momentum, shareholder-friendly policies, and solid stock performance, despite GM's strength in EV sales [19]