“稳中向好、结构向优” 政策组合拳成效释放于供需两端

Group 1: Economic Performance - In the first half of 2025, China's GDP reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3% at constant prices [1] - The overall economic performance reflects strong resilience and vitality despite a complex external environment [2][3] Group 2: Policy Support - Fiscal and financial policies have been actively supporting economic growth, with an increase in special government bonds from 1 trillion yuan to 1.3 trillion yuan [3] - The government has doubled the support for consumer goods replacement from 150 billion yuan to 300 billion yuan, indicating a proactive fiscal stance [3] Group 3: Industrial and Consumption Trends - Industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 6.4% year-on-year, with advanced manufacturing and high-tech industries providing strong support [2] - There is a growing demand for high-quality, green, and low-carbon products, indicating an ongoing upgrade in consumption structure [2] Group 4: Trade and Financial Sector - China's import and export volume reached 21.7876 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, marking a historical high for the same period [4] - The interbank RMB market's weighted average interest rate fell from 1.86% in January to 1.46% in June, supporting the real economy [4][6] Group 5: Market Outlook - The capital market has shown signs of recovery, with the Shanghai Composite Index recently surpassing 3,500 points, reflecting improved market confidence [6] - Future policy innovations are expected to target weak areas of the macro economy, including real estate and service sectors [6]