Canadian National (CNI) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Canadian National (CNI) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues when it releases its quarterly results for June 2025 [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - CNI is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.37 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +1.5% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $3.15 billion, indicating a decrease of 0.5% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.18% over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for CNI is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.57%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. - CNI currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat given the negative Earnings ESP [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, CNI was expected to post earnings of $1.26 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $1.29, resulting in a surprise of +2.38% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, CNI has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - CNI does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and revisions, but other factors may influence stock performance around the earnings release [17].