IBM vs. Amazon: Which Cloud Infrastructure Stock Offers More Upside?

Core Insights - IBM and Amazon are key players in the global cloud computing industry, with IBM focusing on hybrid cloud and AI solutions, while Amazon Web Services (AWS) is the most comprehensive on-demand cloud platform [1][2][3] Group 1: IBM's Position - IBM is expected to benefit from strong demand for hybrid cloud and AI, which will enhance its Software and Consulting segments [4] - The company has partnered with NVIDIA to scale AI workloads and enhance its hybrid cloud infrastructure, introducing new capabilities like content-aware storage [4][5] - Despite growth potential, IBM faces intense competition from AWS and Microsoft Azure, with pricing pressures impacting margins and profitability [6] Group 2: Amazon's Position - AWS is the leading provider of cloud infrastructure services, with a growing customer base and strategic expansions like the Bedrock platform for enterprise AI [7][10] - Amazon is investing in AI infrastructure, including custom AI silicon, to improve decision-making and expand its global service capabilities [10] - However, AWS faces challenges such as capacity constraints in AI services and regulatory complexities in global expansion [11] Group 3: Financial Performance and Estimates - IBM's 2025 sales and EPS estimates imply year-over-year growth of 5.5% and 6%, respectively, with static EPS estimates over the past 60 days [12] - Amazon's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest year-over-year growth of 8.9% and 12.7%, with EPS estimates trending upward [14] - Over the past year, IBM's stock has gained 52.6%, outperforming the industry, while Amazon's stock rose 16.9% [15] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Outlook - IBM's shares trade at a lower price/earnings ratio of 25.05 compared to Amazon's 33.38, making IBM appear more attractive from a valuation perspective [16] - Both companies expect sales and profits to improve in 2025, with long-term earnings growth expectations of 4.3% for IBM and 21.4% for Amazon [18] - Despite IBM's better price performance and valuation metrics, Amazon's consistent revenue and EPS growth position it as a potentially better investment option currently [18]