Marsh & McLennan Q2 Preview: Will Cost Pressures Weigh on Results?

Core Viewpoint - Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 17, 2025, with earnings estimated at $2.67 per share and revenues at $6.91 billion, reflecting nearly 11% year-over-year growth in both metrics [1][6]. Financial Performance Estimates - Second-quarter earnings estimates have been revised upward, indicating a 10.8% increase from the previous year, while revenue estimates suggest an 11.1% year-over-year growth [2]. - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate stands at $26.95 billion, representing a 10.2% year-over-year increase, and the earnings per share estimate is $9.58, indicating an 8.9% growth [3]. Historical Performance - MMC has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, having beaten the consensus in each of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 2.6% [3]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for MMC, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.86% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4]. Revenue Drivers - The projected revenue growth in Q2 is attributed to strong performances in the Risk and Insurance Services and Consulting segments, with significant contributions from Marsh and Guy Carpenter subdivisions [7]. - The Risk and Insurance Services segment is expected to see a revenue increase of 14.7% year-over-year, while the Consulting segment's revenues are projected to grow by 5.6% [8][9]. Expense Considerations - Total operating expenses are anticipated to rise by 7% year-over-year, primarily due to increased compensation and benefits, which may pressure the net margin [10]. - The adjusted net margin is expected to be 18.6%, down from 19.2% in the previous year [10].