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中加基金权益周报|股债跷跷板效应显著,利率有所上行
Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-07-16 02:34

Market Overview and Analysis - The issuance scale of government bonds, local bonds, and policy financial bonds in the primary market last week was 293.2 billion, 231.8 billion, and 165 billion respectively, with net financing amounts of 193.1 billion, 110.2 billion, and 159 billion [1] - Non-financial credit bonds had a total issuance scale of 277.5 billion, with a net financing amount of 95.8 billion. One new convertible bond was issued, expected to raise 4.9 billion [1] Liquidity Tracking - The net absorption through OMO was 226.5 billion, with marginal tightening of funds, and both repo and certificate of deposit rates increased [2] Policy and Fundamentals - The June CPI year-on-year was 0.1%, while the PPI year-on-year was -3.6%, with CPI meeting expectations and PPI significantly below expectations [3] Overseas Market - The US announced a new round of tariff increases on the EU, Mexico, and Brazil, with rates raised to between 30% and 50%, and the deadline for reciprocal tariff negotiations extended to August 1 [4] Equity Market - Influenced by real estate policy expectations and anti-involution, the Wande All A index continued its upward trend, with real estate and building materials sectors leading the gains. The Wande All A rose by 1.71%, the ChiNext index increased by 2.36%, and the CSI 300 rose by 0.82%. The average daily trading volume in A-shares slightly increased to nearly 1.5 trillion, up by 54.748 billion from the previous week [5] Bond Market Strategy Outlook - With the upcoming tax period and MLF maturity, funding demand is expected to increase. However, the central bank has started to restore net reverse repos, which may continue to increase liquidity supply. The market is currently pricing in expectations around real estate policies and upstream commodity price increases, but the necessity for significant short-term stimulus policies is low given the strong economic performance in the first half of the year [6]