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国泰海通:国外二轮车市场广阔 龙头雅迪控股(01585)、爱玛科技(603529.SH)全速发力
智通财经网·2025-07-16 03:29

Group 1 - The motorcycle is an important mode of transportation in India and Southeast Asia, while electric bicycles are particularly popular in Europe and Japan. The overseas electric two-wheeler market is in its early development stage, with major brands actively expanding their presence. Leading companies in China, Yadea and Aima, are making significant strides in establishing overseas factories and channels [1] - The trend of "oil to electric" is gaining momentum, supported by policies that favor the development of electric vehicles. The push for carbon neutrality benefits the electrification of motorcycles, as fuel-powered vehicles have higher pollution emissions and fuel prices are relatively high compared to electricity [1] - Southeast Asia is a major motorcycle market, with cities like Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City proposing bans on motorcycles. Thailand has implemented a tax on motorcycles based on carbon emissions since January 2020, and Singapore aims to eliminate fuel vehicles by 2040. Vietnam has committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2050, with electric vehicle infrastructure being prioritized [1] Group 2 - Electric two-wheelers have lower carbon emissions, reduced noise, and a wide range of energy sources, along with lower purchase and maintenance costs. High-end electric two-wheelers offer excellent smart features, and the performance gap between electric and fuel motorcycles is narrowing [2] - The rapid development of the electric vehicle industry will benefit the electric two-wheeler sector as the core components overlap, leading to a more mature supply chain and continuous technological upgrades [2] Group 3 - The market environment in India and Southeast Asia is similar to China's experience from 2000 to 2010, with urban expansion and insufficient infrastructure. In this context, electric two-wheelers are suitable for short-distance travel. In 2020, the average prices for motorcycles and scooters in Southeast Asia were approximately $4,010 and $1,310, respectively, while the average price for electric cars was $54,000 [3] - The purchasing power of residents in India and Southeast Asia aligns well with electric two-wheelers, making them a more accessible option [3] Group 4 - China's electric two-wheeler industry is expected to replicate the export trends seen in bicycles and motorcycles, capturing global demand. China has become the world's largest exporter of bicycles and motorcycles, with export ratios of 89% for bicycles in 2018 and 54%, 33%, and 35% for motorcycles from 2019 to 2021 [4] - The domestic electric two-wheeler market in China is mature, but export activities are just beginning, with only 5.2% of total shipments being exported in 2020. Leading electric two-wheeler companies in China have developed a robust supply chain and competitive advantages over years of domestic operations [4]