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德国智库:美国征收30%关税将损害德国经济增长
news flash·2025-07-16 09:10

Core Viewpoint - The IMK research institute indicates that the proposed 30% tariff by the U.S. on EU imports will negatively impact Germany's economic growth by approximately 0.25 percentage points over the next two years [1] Economic Impact - Germany's economic growth rate is projected to be zero for this year and 1.2% for the next year due to the tariffs [1] - Prior forecasts by IMK suggested that Germany's economy would begin to recover in the fourth quarter, with an average growth rate of 0.2% by 2025 and a 1.5% growth next year driven by public investment and defense spending plans [1] Recommendations - IMK emphasizes that the rapid implementation of planned public investment initiatives could significantly mitigate economic risks for Germany [1] - The institute also notes that the economic loss for the U.S. will be greater than that for Germany, highlighting the importance of the U.S. as a key export market for Germany, accounting for nearly 10% of its exports [1]