Sell UAL Stock Ahead Of Its Upcoming Earnings?

Core Insights - United Airlines is scheduled to release its earnings report on July 17, 2025, with traders focusing on historical stock performance related to earnings announcements [2] - The current consensus forecasts predict earnings of $3.88 per share on revenue of $15.33 billion, compared to $4.14 per share on revenue of $14.99 billion in the same quarter last year [3] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, United Airlines stock has experienced negative one-day returns following earnings releases in 60% of cases, with a median negative return of -4.0% and a maximum decline of -10.2% [3][7] - There have been 20 earnings data points recorded in the past five years, with 8 positive and 12 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 40% of the time [7] Financial Metrics - United Airlines currently has a market capitalization of $29 billion, with $58 billion in revenue, $5.6 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $3.7 billion over the last twelve months [4] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities and assess the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns following the earnings announcement [6] - A relatively lower-risk strategy involves assessing the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings to inform trading decisions [8]