Delta Air Lines Stock Rallies on New Guidance—Can It Keep Going?

Core Viewpoint - Delta Air Lines has shown significant stock performance, with a recent rally of up to 21.7%, outperforming peers and the broader S&P 500 index, indicating strong market confidence and potential for future growth [5][6]. Financial Performance - In its Q2 earnings report, Delta reported a record adjusted revenue of $15.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.10, surpassing Wall Street expectations [7]. - Delta reinstated its full-year guidance, projecting EPS between $5.25 and $6.25 and free cash flow of $3 to $4 billion, which is a positive signal for investors amid economic volatility [8]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - Delta announced a 25% increase in its quarterly dividend, now set at 19 cents per share, reflecting strong financial health and a shareholder-friendly capital allocation strategy [9]. - The current dividend yield stands at 1.08%, with an annual dividend of $0.60 and a payout ratio of 8.70% [8]. Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings - Institutional investors have shown confidence in Delta, with Kingstone Capital Partners initiating a $386 million position and UBS analyst setting a bullish price target of $72, indicating a potential upside of 27% from current levels [10][11][12]. - The average 12-month stock price forecast for Delta is $66.21, suggesting an 18.71% upside from the current price of $55.77 [10].