Core Insights - The ambiguity of the new U.S. tariff regime is impacting global markets, including RH, a luxury home furnishing retailer, which is closely tied to housing market trends facing challenges in affordability [2][3] Business Strategy - RH is actively investing in diversified business plans to enhance revenue visibility and ensure long-term margin expansion [3] - The company plans to reduce its sourcing from China from 16% in Q1 FY25 to 2% by Q4 FY25, with projections of 52% of upholstered furniture produced in the U.S. and 21% in Italy by the end of 2025 [3][7] - To mitigate risks from the domestic market, RH is focusing on international markets, particularly Europe, with plans for new gallery openings in Paris, London, and Milan [4] Financial Performance - In Q1 FY25, RH's adjusted operating margin increased by 50 basis points to 7%, and adjusted EBITDA margin rose by 80 basis points to 13.1% [5] - The company maintains its fiscal 2025 adjusted operating margin guidance of 14% to 15% and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance of 20% to 21% [5][7] Stock Performance - RH's stock has gained 16.4% over the past three months, outperforming the Hoya Capital Housing ETF (HOMZ) [6] - The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.95, which is lower than Ethan Allen's 1.19 and higher than Arhaus's 0.83, indicating a potentially attractive valuation for investors [10] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for RH for fiscal 2025 and 2026 have been revised downward to $10.76 and $14.61 per share, respectively, but still reflect year-over-year growth of 99.6% and 35.8% [11][12]
Is It Too Optimistic of RH to Maintain Margin Outlook Despite Tariffs?