Core Viewpoint - Lamb Weston (LW) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues, which could significantly influence its near-term stock price depending on how actual results compare to consensus estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on July 23, with a consensus estimate of $0.64 per share, reflecting an 18% decrease year-over-year. Revenues are projected at $1.59 billion, down 1.2% from the same quarter last year [3][2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 3.33% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Lamb Weston is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.27%. This suggests a challenging outlook for the company to beat the consensus EPS estimate [12][8]. - A positive Earnings ESP is generally a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank. However, Lamb Weston currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [10][12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Lamb Weston exceeded the consensus EPS estimate of $0.87 by delivering earnings of $1.10, resulting in a surprise of +26.44%. However, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once in the last four quarters [13][14]. Conclusion - While Lamb Weston does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors that may influence stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17][15].
Earnings Preview: Lamb Weston (LW) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline