Earnings Preview: Mattel (MAT) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Mattel, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Mattel is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.18 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 5.3% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $1.08 billion, a slight decline of 0.1% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a stable outlook from analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Mattel is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, leading to an Earnings ESP of -8.57% [11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [9]. - Mattel currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Mattel was expected to post a loss of $0.11 per share but instead reported a loss of -$0.03, resulting in a surprise of +72.73% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, Mattel has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates each time [13]. Conclusion - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, various factors can influence stock movement beyond earnings results [14]. - Mattel does not currently appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, suggesting investors should consider additional factors before making decisions [16].