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海通国际:泡泡玛特(09992)高增长趋势持续 升目标价至316.7港元
智通财经网·2025-07-17 08:29

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International maintains a target valuation of 35 times the price-to-earnings ratio for Pop Mart (09992) by 2025, raising the target price by 60% to HKD 316.7, while keeping an "outperform" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Pop Mart's performance in the first half of the year exceeded expectations, with significant year-on-year growth attributed to the global recognition of its IPs and a diverse range of product categories driving rapid revenue growth across regions [1] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of RMB 35.1 billion, RMB 53.5 billion, and RMB 69.1 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 169%, 53%, and 29% respectively [2] - Adjusted net profits are projected to be RMB 11.2 billion, RMB 17.8 billion, and RMB 23.8 billion for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 229%, 58%, and 34% respectively [2] Group 2: Operational Insights - The increase in overseas revenue proportion and changes in revenue structure positively impacted both gross and net profit margins, alongside enhanced economies of scale [1] - The company has successfully diversified its IP portfolio from reliance on a single product (MOLLY) to multiple successful IPs like PUCKY, DIMOO, SKULLPANDA, and more recently, THE MONSTERS and CRYBABY, reducing risks associated with dependence on a few IPs [1] - The long-term operational capability of Pop Mart's IPs has been validated, ensuring a higher sustainability of performance [1]