美国气象预报中心（CPC）：到秋末和初冬时期，倾向于保持厄尔尼诺-南方涛动（ENSO）中性状态，但信心较低，ENSO中性的概率为48%，拉尼娜的概率为41%。

Core Insights - The U.S. Climate Prediction Center (CPC) indicates a tendency to maintain a neutral state of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) by late autumn and early winter, but confidence in this forecast is low [1] - The probability of ENSO neutral conditions is estimated at 48%, while the probability of La Niña conditions is at 41% [1]