Nan Fang Du Shi Bao·2025-07-17 13:26Core Viewpoint - The real estate industry is facing significant challenges in the first half of 2025, with a notable performance divergence among listed companies, as many report substantial losses while a few manage to turn profits [1][2]. Group 1: Overall Performance - As of July 17, 2025, 61 listed real estate companies have disclosed their mid-year performance forecasts, with a total expected loss ranging from 342.56 billion to 464.97 billion [1]. - Out of these, 24 companies anticipate profits while 37 expect losses, indicating that 60% of the companies are projected to report losses [1][2]. - The overall trend shows a decline in performance, with companies like China Vanke and Greenland Holdings shifting from profit to loss, while others like Joy City and Urban Construction Development have managed to turn losses into profits [1][2]. Group 2: Companies Turning Profits - In the first half of 2025, 24 companies are expected to achieve profits totaling between 68.68 billion and 80.16 billion, with 12 companies successfully reversing previous losses [2][3]. - Urban Construction Development is projected to report a net profit of 4.4 billion to 6.54 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of up to 575.14% [3][7]. - Other companies that have turned profitable include Zhongzhou Holdings, City Investment Holdings, and Joy City, showcasing resilience in a challenging market [2][3]. Group 3: Companies Reporting Losses - Among the 37 companies forecasting losses, 13 are expected to report their first-ever losses, including Shahe Co., Xiangjiang Holdings, and Greenland Holdings [8][11]. - The total expected loss for these companies ranges from 422.72 billion to 533.64 billion, with Vanke leading with a projected loss of 100 billion to 120 billion [8][11]. - Other notable companies with significant losses include Jindi Group, which anticipates a loss of 34 billion to 42 billion, and Xinda Real Estate, expecting a loss of 35 billion to 39 billion [11][12]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The overall real estate market is still in an adjustment phase, but signs of stabilization are emerging, particularly in first-tier and some strong second-tier cities [14]. - Analysts suggest that the second half of 2025 may present a turning point for the industry, with potential recovery driven by policy adjustments and improved buyer confidence [13][14]. - The top 100 real estate companies reported a total sales amount of 18,364.1 billion, a year-on-year decline of 11.8%, but the rate of decline is narrowing [13].