Analysts Estimate Boston Beer (SAM) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Core Viewpoint - Boston Beer (SAM) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Boston Beer is an earnings per share (EPS) of $4.37, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 0.5%. Revenues are projected to reach $596.75 million, which is a 3.1% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.04%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Boston Beer is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -4.15%. This suggests a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Boston Beer was expected to post earnings of $0.78 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $2.16, resulting in a surprise of +176.92%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, Boston Beer does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for such an outcome, especially given its Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates predictions of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12][17].