CNPCCCL(SZ:000617) Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-07-17 18:13Core Viewpoint - The chief economist of China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), Wang Zengye, emphasizes that industrial financial institutions can promote the green and low-carbon transformation of the energy industry by investing around their traditional main businesses under the "dual carbon" goals [2][3]. Group 1: Industrial Financial Support for Energy Transition - The rapid development of new energy vehicles is impacting the traditional oil sales market, prompting CNPC to adapt to the new energy industry trends to maintain its leading position [3]. - Wang Zengye suggests that entities participating in financial institutions can create a feedback loop to support their main businesses, thus driving the group's green and low-carbon transformation [3]. - CNPC's financial arm, Zhongyou Capital, is focusing on the energy and chemical industry chain, leveraging its full licensing capabilities to provide financial products and services [3]. - Zhongyou Capital plans to invest 655 million yuan in controllable nuclear fusion projects, indicating a proactive approach to future energy developments [3]. Group 2: Challenges in Global Energy Landscape - Geopolitical conflicts, economic slowdown, and climate change are pushing the energy industry into a high-risk phase, with energy prices experiencing significant volatility [5]. - The global energy trade flow is shifting from a counterclockwise to a clockwise direction, with the EU's sanctions on Russian energy exports leading to increased exports from Russia to the Asia-Pacific region [5]. - The U.S. is significantly increasing its LNG and refined oil exports to Europe, indicating a shift from global economic efficiency to regional cooperation in energy trade [5]. Group 3: Economic Impact on Energy Demand - U.S. tariff policies are affecting global trade and dragging down global oil demand growth, with international oil prices expected to drop to a range of $60 to $70 per barrel by 2025 [6]. - The International Monetary Fund predicts a decline in global economic growth to 2.8% in 2025, which will contribute to weak energy consumption [6]. Group 4: China's Energy Security - Despite high dependence on imports for oil and gas, China's overall energy self-sufficiency remains above 80%, supported by coal self-sufficiency and the utilization of clean energy sources [7]. - In 2024, China's dependence on foreign oil and gas is projected to reach 71.9% and 43.6%, respectively, highlighting the risks associated with maritime transport routes [7].