Buy NextEra Stock Down 20% for Value, Dividends, and AI Growth

Core Insights - NextEra Energy (NEE) has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 25 years, with a stock price increase of 1,140% compared to the index's performance [1] - Currently, NEE trades 20% below its historical highs as it approaches its Q2 earnings release on July 23 [1][8] Group 1: Performance and Market Position - Over the last five years, NEE has underperformed due to concerns about slowing earnings and dividend growth, as well as the potential reduction of government subsidies for renewable energy [2] - Despite recent challenges, NEE has maintained its earnings guidance and expects to grow dividends by 10% annually through at least 2026, starting from a 2024 base [3] - The company is projected to grow adjusted earnings by 7% in 2025 and 8% in 2026, following a 10% average growth over the past five years [9] Group 2: Strategic Advantages - NEE operates one of the largest electric utilities in the U.S., Florida Power & Light Company, and its subsidiary is a leading electric energy infrastructure company globally [5] - The company is a major producer of wind and solar energy, a leader in battery storage, and has a significant presence in natural gas and nuclear energy [6] - NEE is well-positioned to benefit from trends such as the AI boom, electrification, and energy infrastructure expansion [4][8] Group 3: Financial Metrics and Valuation - NEE's stock has increased approximately 190% over the past decade, lagging slightly behind the S&P 500's 205% increase [11] - The company is trading over 40% below its historical highs and near its 25-year median valuation of 19.5X forward 12-month earnings, which is a discount compared to the benchmark's 22.6X [12] - NEE has a market capitalization of $155 billion and is a significant holding in the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF, reflecting its stability in the sector [16]