Alaska Air(US:ALK) ZACKSยท2025-07-17 23:00Core Viewpoint - Alaska Air Group's stock performance has shown a positive trend, with a notable increase in share price and upcoming earnings release that is anticipated to reflect significant revenue growth despite a decline in earnings per share [1][2]. Company Performance - Alaska Air Group closed at $53.12, marking a +2.85% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.54% [1]. - The airline's shares have gained 10.2% over the past month, while the Transportation sector and S&P 500 gained 2.66% and 4.2%, respectively [1]. - The upcoming earnings report on July 23, 2025, is expected to show an EPS of $1.56, reflecting a 38.82% decrease from the same quarter last year, while revenue is forecasted at $3.66 billion, indicating a 26.27% increase [2]. Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $3.47 per share, representing a -28.75% change from the previous year, with revenue expected to be $14.17 billion, indicating a +20.76% increase [3]. Analyst Forecasts - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Alaska Air Group are crucial, as positive estimate revisions are seen as a favorable indicator for business outlook [4]. - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses these estimate changes, currently ranks Alaska Air Group at 4 (Sell), following a 4.91% decrease in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [6]. Valuation Metrics - Alaska Air Group has a Forward P/E ratio of 14.88, which is higher than the industry average of 10.09, and a PEG ratio of 0.55, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 0.88 [7]. Industry Context - The Transportation - Airline industry is currently ranked 155 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 38% of over 250 industries, indicating underperformance compared to higher-ranked industries [8].