Workflow
稳定币成5月底以来最强题材,牌照申请日临近行情将如何演绎?
智通财经网·2025-07-18 02:31

Core Viewpoint - The stablecoin concept has emerged as the largest and most sustained investment theme in the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets since late May 2025, significantly driving up the stock prices of related companies [1][11]. Market Performance - In the A-share market, companies like Hengbao Co. (002104.SZ) and Sifang Jingchuang (300468.SZ) saw increases of over 220% and 180% respectively within 31 and 23 trading days [1]. - In the Hong Kong market, Lianlian Digital (02598) surged by 125% in three trading days, while Guotai Junan International (01788) experienced a nearly 200% increase in the same period [1]. - CIRCLE, listed in the US, achieved a maximum increase of 864.52% within 12 trading days [1]. Stablecoin Industry Chain - The stablecoin industry chain is divided into three main parts: upstream (issuers, reserve asset managers, blockchain infrastructure), midstream (exchanges, market makers), and downstream (applications like cross-border payments and RWA) [1][2]. - Among 18 companies in the Hong Kong market, 7 focus on application layers, primarily in cross-border payments and RWA [2]. Company Valuations - The market capitalization of companies involved in the stablecoin industry varies significantly, with notable players including: - Guotai Junan International: 604 billion - China Everbright Holdings: 134 billion - OSL Group: 113 billion [3]. - Companies like ZhongAn Online and OSL Group have achieved full-chain layouts, covering issuance, custody, circulation, and cross-border settlement [4][5]. Recent Stock Movements - The most significant stock price increases were observed in companies like Jinyong Investment and Guotai Junan International, with increases of 653.77% and 526.55% respectively [7][8]. - However, some companies with high stock price increases may be subject to speculation, as their business developments are still in the planning stages [9]. Regulatory Environment - The upcoming implementation of the Stablecoin Regulation on August 1 is expected to influence the market dynamics, with a focus on the issuance of stablecoin licenses [11][12]. - Approximately 50 to 60 companies have expressed intentions to apply for licenses, with expectations that only 3-4 licenses will be granted initially [11]. Future Market Potential - The global stablecoin market has surpassed $250 billion as of July 2025, with projections suggesting it could reach $3.7 trillion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 35% [14]. - The RWA market, a key area for stablecoin applications, is projected to exceed $16 trillion by 2030, indicating significant growth potential [14].