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中金:升友谊时光(06820)目标价至1.06港元 评级“跑赢行业”
FRIENDTIMESFRIENDTIMES(HK:06820) 智通财经网·2025-07-18 07:48

Core Viewpoint - The company maintains its profit forecast for 友谊时光 (06820) and raises the target price by 71% to HKD 1.06, reflecting a potential upside of 13% based on improved industry valuations and product potential [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company expects 1H25 revenue to be between 600-650 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 14%-24%, with profits projected between 38-44 million, indicating a turnaround from losses [1] - The revenue growth is driven by multiple products achieving incremental revenue, particularly from mini-games that attract new users [2] Group 2: Product Performance - Mini-games are revitalizing product performance, with titles like 《杜拉拉升职记》 and 《凌云诺》 achieving significant rankings in popular gaming charts [2] - Established products like 《熹妃传》 and 《浮生》 maintain stable revenue contributions, ensuring a solid profit margin [2] Group 3: Profitability and Cost Management - The company reports an increase in gross margin by approximately 5 percentage points due to a higher proportion of high-margin channel revenue [3] - Cost management is effective, with reductions in R&D and sales expense ratios attributed to AI applications enhancing efficiency and return on investment [3] Group 4: New Game Developments - The new season of 《暴吵萌厨》 launched on July 14, introducing new gameplay and levels, with expectations for user growth and monetization [4] - The company has several games in development, with some already receiving approval, indicating a strong pipeline for future releases [4] - The chairman's commitment to not sell shares in the next 12 months reflects confidence in the company's business and product outlook [4]