Moody's (MCO) Q2 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast Moody's (MCO) will report quarterly earnings of $3.42 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.3%, with anticipated revenues of $1.85 billion, up 1.8% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 1.5%, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial forecasts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate that 'Revenue- Total external customers- Moody's investor services' will reach $977.85 million, down 3.7% year-over-year, while 'Revenue- Total external customers- Moody's Analytics' is projected at $871.28 million, up 8.6% [5]. - 'Revenue- Moody's Analytics- Decision Solutions' is expected to be $409.35 million, reflecting an 11.8% increase year-over-year. 'Revenue- Moody's Analytics- Data and Information' is estimated at $222.57 million, up 6%, and 'Revenue- Moody's Analytics- Research and Insights' at $239.93 million, up 6.2% [6]. - The consensus for 'Revenue- Moody's investor services' is $1.03 billion, indicating a 3.1% decrease from the prior year, while 'Revenue- Moody's Analytics' is projected at $875.94 million, up 8.7% [8]. - Specific revenue estimates include 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Recurring' at $336.58 million, up 4.2%, and 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Transaction' at $640.27 million, down 7.5% [7][8]. - 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Public, project and infrastructure finance' is expected to reach $164.17 million, up 6.6%, and 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Financial institutions' at $197.98 million, up 1.5% [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Moody's shares have returned +6.8%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.4% change, suggesting that MCO will likely perform in line with the overall market in the upcoming period [9].