Phillips 66(US:PSX) ZACKSยท2025-07-18 15:00Core Viewpoint - Phillips 66 is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.63, reflecting a -29.4% change, and revenues expected at $30.54 billion, down 21.5% from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for July 25, and the stock may rise if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.82% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight bullish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Phillips 66 is +4.25%, suggesting a higher Most Accurate Estimate compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which further supports the potential for an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Phillips 66 had a surprise of -16.88%, posting a loss of -$0.90 per share against an expected loss of -$0.77 [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Context - Valero Energy, another player in the oil refining and marketing industry, is expected to report earnings of $1.76 per share for the same quarter, reflecting a -35.1% year-over-year change, with revenues projected at $27.84 billion, down 19.3% [18][19]. - Valero Energy also has a positive Earnings ESP of +1.22% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a similar potential to beat consensus EPS estimates [20].