分红险去年红利实现率整体改善 有望成为行业主导产品

Core Viewpoint - The dividend realization rate for participating insurance products in 2024 has improved, with all 90 disclosed products achieving rates above 100%, indicating better performance compared to 2023 [1][2] Group 1: Reasons for Improvement - The average comprehensive investment return rate in the industry has rebounded, supporting higher dividend realization rates [2] - Regulatory changes in June 2023 relaxed constraints on dividend fluctuations, releasing surplus space for companies [2] - The upper limit for the preset interest rate of newly filed participating insurance products was lowered to 2.0% since October 2022, making it easier for products to meet demonstration rates [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Participating insurance products, with their "guaranteed + floating" return mechanism, have become the main products promoted by insurance companies in a low-interest-rate environment [2] - Increased competition in the participating insurance market has led some companies to adopt aggressive dividend strategies, potentially exaggerating the dividend levels [2] - Regulatory guidance requires companies to prudently determine dividend levels for 2024, emphasizing stable operations and long-term principles [2] Group 3: Long-term Considerations - Long-term evaluation of dividend realization rates is crucial for assessing the operational and investment capabilities of insurance companies [3] - Future expectations indicate an optimization of the revenue structure in the participating insurance market, with a predicted decline in preset interest rates and an increase in the proportion of floating returns [3] - The ongoing industry transformation may position participating insurance products as the dominant offerings, with a continuous decrease in liability costs [3]