日本政坛，重磅事件！创下历史新高

Group 1 - The Japanese Senate election is taking place, with over 21.45 million early votes cast, marking a historical high [1] - The election will determine 125 seats, including 124 up for re-election and 1 supplementary seat in Tokyo [1] - The ruling coalition needs to secure at least 50 seats to maintain a majority in the Senate [1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the election results will significantly impact Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's government, with potential loss of majority leading to increased pressure on his leadership [2] - Recent polls indicate that the ruling coalition is struggling, with predictions suggesting they may only secure around 30 seats, making it difficult to achieve their election goals [5][6] Group 3 - The current cabinet's approval rating has dropped to 20.8%, the lowest since Ishiba took office, with disapproval ratings rising to 55% [7] - The ruling coalition has faced poor performance in previous elections, including last year's House of Representatives election and the recent Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly election [7] Group 4 - Japan is facing economic challenges, including rising prices and pressure from U.S. tariffs, which could influence the election outcome [8][9] - The increase in consumer prices, particularly for food, has led to a decline in real wages, impacting public sentiment towards the ruling parties [9][12] Group 5 - The upcoming election is viewed as a critical juncture for Japan's political landscape, with potential shifts in voter sentiment towards opposition parties [11] - The ruling coalition's failure to address key issues such as rising living costs has contributed to declining support among voters [12]