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跑赢纳斯达克,银行股遭遇“牛回头” 是否“稳赚不赔”?
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-07-20 06:21

Core Insights - Recently, the stock prices of major Chinese banks such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, and China Construction Bank reached historical highs, with the China Securities Banking Index outperforming the Nasdaq 100 Index over the past year, leading some to refer to bank stocks as "Silver Nasdaq" or "Chinese version of Nasdaq" [1] - Despite the impressive performance, the banking sector faces significant operational pressures, raising concerns among investors about the sustainability of current stock prices [1] Financial Performance - In April, 42 A-share listed banks released their Q1 2025 earnings reports, revealing that the downward trend in net interest margins has not yet reversed, posing challenges for future operations [1] - Among the 42 listed banks, 26 reported positive revenue growth, while 30 maintained profit growth; however, 10 banks experienced declines in both revenue and profit, indicating a certain level of operational pressure [1] Dividend Trends - The average dividend yield for the 42 listed banks was 4.9% in July 2024, but it has since decreased to 3.89% as of July 7 this year, suggesting that bank stocks are no longer perceived as "cheap" [1] - Although current dividend yields remain higher than those of wealth management products, the attractiveness of entering the market has diminished compared to last year [1] Investment Considerations - Experts suggest that current bank stocks are neither particularly cheap nor expensive, advising investors to be cautious of short-term speculative risks driven by market sentiment [1] - A comprehensive assessment of bank valuations should consider operational performance and the overall economic environment to avoid entering the market during overheated conditions [1]