光大保德信基金江磊：回撤控制是生命线 债券投资亟需锻造交易能力

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that in a low-interest-rate environment, short-term bond funds are emerging as a new investment option for wealth management, despite challenges in generating stable returns in a "micro-profit" bond market [1][2] - Short-term bond funds are becoming increasingly popular as bank one-year fixed deposit rates fall below 1%, and money market fund yields have also entered the "1 era" [2] - The historical opportunity for short-term bond funds is highlighted by the observation of the Japanese market, where a drop in 10-year government bond yields led to significant growth in short-term bond funds [2] Group 2 - The core advantages of short-term bonds are identified as "three lows": low duration, low volatility, and low credit risk, making them suitable for risk-averse investors [2] - The importance of controlling drawdowns is emphasized as a critical factor for bond funds, particularly short-term products [3][5] - The risk control strategy of the fixed income team includes duration management, holding structure, and portfolio diversification to mitigate market volatility [4] Group 3 - The focus is shifting from single yield assessments to risk-reward ratios, Sharpe ratios, and the sustainability of monthly positive returns, reflecting a balanced approach to risk and return [5] - The trading ability in bond investments is becoming increasingly important in a low-interest-rate and credit expansion environment, with strategies such as reverse trading and interest rate arbitrage being employed [6] - Future market outlook suggests a moderate economic recovery with continued monetary policy easing, while certain industry bonds are expected to have improved safety due to changes in supply and demand dynamics [6]