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中金港股通与恒指调整预览:泡泡玛特(09992)等有望纳入恒指 预计19只公司有望入港股通
智通财经网·2025-07-21 00:30

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index Company will announce the results of the Hang Seng series index adjustments on August 22, 2025, with implementation on September 8, 2025. Potential candidates for inclusion include Bank of Communications, Pop Mart, Yum China, Xpeng Motors, Huazhu Group, JD Logistics, and Innovent Biologics, based on market capitalization and industry representation [1][2][3]. Group 1: Index Adjustment Details - The semi-annual review will affect major indices such as the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Tech Index, with significant changes expected due to the large scale of passive funds tracking these indices, estimated at approximately $30.35 billion for the Hang Seng Index, $6.63 billion for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and $26.12 billion for the Hang Seng Tech Index [2][6]. - The adjustment will be based on a new calculation method for the average market capitalization over the past 12 months, focusing on non-suspended trading days, which may impact the inclusion and exclusion of stocks [4][5]. Group 2: Potential Candidates for Inclusion - The potential candidates for inclusion in the Hang Seng Index are estimated based on market capitalization rankings and industry representation, with the following companies identified: Bank of Communications, Pop Mart, Yum China, Xpeng Motors, Huazhu Group, JD Logistics, and Innovent Biologics [3][4]. - Historical data indicates that predictions for index inclusion may not always align with actual results, as seen with Innovent Biologics in previous adjustments, suggesting that non-quantitative factors may influence final decisions [3]. Group 3: Hong Kong Stock Connect Adjustments - An estimated 19 companies are expected to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, while 17 may be removed due to market capitalization and other criteria [4][5]. - Companies listed in both A and H shares may be directly included in the Stock Connect after a price stabilization period, with recent listings such as Sanhua Intelligent Controls and others expected to join [5]. Group 4: Timeline and Trading Implications - The official announcement of the index adjustments will occur after market close on August 22, 2025, with the changes taking effect on September 8, 2025. Active funds may engage in arbitrage based on the results, while passive funds will likely adjust their holdings on September 5, leading to potential abnormal trading volumes [1][6].