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70年来最差战绩!日本执政联盟参议院选举惨败,石破茂会辞职吗?
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-07-21 03:36

Core Viewpoint - The recent Japanese Senate election has resulted in a significant loss for the ruling coalition led by Prime Minister Kishida, marking a shift towards a "minority" status in both houses of parliament, which may lead to increased political instability and uncertainty in Japan's domestic and foreign policies [2][11]. Election Results - The ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito lost its majority in the House of Councillors, securing only 47 out of 125 contested seats, falling short of the 50 seats needed to maintain a majority [2][6]. - This election marks the first time since the LDP's establishment in 1955 that it has failed to secure a majority in both houses of parliament [2]. Voter Sentiment and Political Dynamics - Voter focus has shifted from "dark money" politics to economic policies, inflation, and foreign policy, reflecting a growing disinterest in politics among the electorate [6]. - The dissatisfaction with rising prices and stagnant wages has led to increased support for smaller parties, with the right-wing Sanseito party gaining significant traction, increasing its seats from 2 to 14 [6][7]. Leadership Challenges - Prime Minister Kishida's administration faces declining approval ratings, with support dropping to 20.8%, the lowest since he took office, and a disapproval rate rising to 55% [7][9]. - Internal dissent within the LDP is growing, with factions indicating they will not support Kishida's continued leadership, suggesting a potential leadership challenge [9][10]. Future Political Landscape - Experts predict that regardless of whether Kishida resigns, the ruling coalition will encounter significant challenges in parliament, potentially leading to a political deadlock [11]. - The rise of populist conservative forces, exemplified by the Sanseito party, indicates a possible shift in Japan's political spectrum towards more conservative and right-leaning policies [11].