【晶采观察·解码“十四五”】三个关键词揭秘中国外贸何以逆势增长

Core Insights - The article highlights the resilience and growth of China's foreign trade despite facing significant pressures, describing the situation as "stormy seas" [1] - China's position as a major trading power is reinforced, with merchandise trade expected to reach $6.16 trillion in 2024, a 32.4% increase from the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan in 2020 [1] - The diversification of trade partners is emphasized, with ASEAN being the largest trading partner for five consecutive years and trade with Belt and Road Initiative countries exceeding 50% in 2024 [3] Group 1 - The scale of China's merchandise trade is projected to be $6.16 trillion in 2024, marking a 32.4% growth from 2020, maintaining its position as the world's largest trading nation for eight consecutive years [1] - Service trade has also seen significant growth, surpassing $1 trillion and ranking second globally, reflecting China's expanding trade scale and influence in the global trade landscape [1] - The ability to maintain stable and resilient supply chains has been crucial, allowing China to effectively respond to global economic uncertainties [1] Group 2 - National-level exhibitions such as the China International Import Expo and the Canton Fair have played a vital role in supporting trade, serving as practical platforms for the three pillars of trade: goods, services, and digital trade [2] - The Chain Expo has seen increased international participation, with 102 companies signing intentions to exhibit, indicating its growing influence as a significant international trade event [2] - The strength of China's trade is not only in its scale but also in its balanced trade structure and innovative capabilities, allowing for effective global resource allocation [2] Group 3 - The resilience of foreign trade has improved significantly, with a more diverse range of trading partners contributing to this strength [3] - The proactive approach of Chinese businesses, such as language learning among shop owners in Yiwu, reflects a deep integration with the global economy [3] - Looking ahead to the 14th Five-Year Plan, there is a commitment to enhancing high-quality trade development, increasing imports, and fostering international cooperation for mutual benefits [3]