Why PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

Core Insights - PagSeguro Digital Ltd. has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, averaging a 12.07% beat over the last two quarters [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $0.29 per share for the most recent quarter, missing the expectation of $0.31 per share, but still achieving a surprise of 6.90% [2] - In the previous quarter, PagSeguro exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.29 per share by reporting $0.34 per share, resulting in a surprise of 17.24% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent changes in earnings estimates for PagSeguro Digital have been favorable, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for PagSeguro is +9.09%, suggesting that analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6][8] Importance of Earnings ESP - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - A positive Earnings ESP combined with a strong Zacks Rank indicates a higher probability of an earnings beat, while a negative Earnings ESP may reduce predictive power but does not necessarily indicate a miss [8][10]