博时宏观观点：A股、港股风险偏好保持高位，关注科技成长

Group 1 - Domestic GDP in Q2 showed resilience, with a slight decline from 5.4% in Q1 to 5.2%, while nominal GDP growth decreased from 4.6% to 3.9% [1] - The economic data in June indicated a strong supply but weak demand, with industrial growth rebounding, retail sales growth slowing, and investment decline widening [1] - The market strategy for bonds showed a tightening followed by a loosening of liquidity around the tax period, with short-term bonds performing well while long-term bonds lacked direction [1] Group 2 - A-shares maintained a positive sentiment after surpassing 3500 points, with internal growth sectors rotating upward, and external risks from the tariff war diminishing [2] - The second quarter GDP growth exceeded expectations, which may slow the pace of growth-stabilizing policies, but liquidity and risk appetite remain favorable for the market [2] - In the Hong Kong market, the inflow of southbound funds remained active, with high risk appetite expected to support strong performance in a liquidity-rich environment [2] Group 3 - Oil demand is expected to be weak in 2025, with continuous supply release putting downward pressure on oil prices, while geopolitical changes may cause short-term fluctuations [3] - Economic policy uncertainties from tariffs and doubts about the dollar's credibility are likely to support a long-term bullish trend for gold prices, although short-term volatility is expected [3]