Group 1 - The potential impact of U.S. tariff policies on the economy raises concerns among economists, suggesting that both the U.S. and global economies may only be experiencing a calm before a storm, with the worst yet to come [1][2] - Analysts warn that if tariffs reach 20% or higher, businesses may completely halt imports, leading to delayed major decisions and reduced economic activity [2] - The uncertainty caused by trade policies is seen as costly, potentially equivalent to the actual tariff rates, and inflation is expected to rise in the coming months, which may suppress growth [2] Group 2 - Germany's leadership is considering retaliatory measures against U.S. pressure for higher baseline tariffs, indicating a readiness for potential conflict in trade relations [3] - The U.S. economy is described as more fragile than recent data suggests, with employment, consumption, and an overvalued stock market nearing unfavorable turning points [3] - The article emphasizes that without a decisive shift away from protectionist policies by the U.S. President, the stability of the economy may be at risk [3]
美关税影响引担忧:暴风雨前的平静 最糟糕的情况尚未到来
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang·2025-07-22 06:17