TotalEnergies to Post Q2 Earnings: How to Play the Stock This Season?

Core Viewpoint - TotalEnergies SE (TTE) is expected to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 24, with anticipated declines in earnings and revenues compared to the previous year [1][9]. Group 1: Q2 Expectations - TotalEnergies forecasts a year-over-year production volume increase of 2-3% for Q2 2025, although planned maintenance outages may negatively impact this volume [2][9]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTE's earnings is $1.68 per share, reflecting a 15.15% decline from the year-ago quarter, while revenues are estimated at $36.24 billion, indicating a 26.32% decrease [2][9]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Earnings - The company is actively pursuing strategic acquisitions and partnerships in high-growth regions while divesting non-core assets, which has streamlined operations and focused on core strengths [3]. - Contributions from recent acquisitions, project startups, and organic growth initiatives are expected to positively influence second-quarter performance [3]. - TotalEnergies is enhancing its presence in natural gas, liquefied natural gas, and low-carbon electricity, which is likely to support earnings growth in Q2 [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Unlike many peers, TotalEnergies has limited exposure to North America's mature market, with a portfolio of assets that have lower natural decline rates and longer productive lifespans, providing a competitive edge [5]. - The company's extensive global operations expose it to intense competition from national and international energy firms, as well as challenges from currency volatility and inflation, particularly in emerging markets [6]. Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - Current analysis indicates that TotalEnergies has an Earnings ESP of -0.10% and a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting it may not beat earnings expectations [7].